KENYA: PREDICTED STRUCTURAL- DEMOGRAPHIC RISKS
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KENYA: PREDICTED STRUCTURAL- DEMOGRAPHIC RISKS
Annotation
PII
S0321-50750000617-4-1
Publication type
Article
Status
Published
Pages
55-61
Abstract
The article substantiates the thesis that Kenya is currently in the Malthusian trap and should make serious efforts to survive. Particular attention is paid to demographic characteristics and the specific processes of urbanization, in particular, risk factors such as «youth bump» and the rapid growth of urban population, predicted by the UN. The author considers various scenarios for Kenya in the coming decades, and gives some recommendations on how to minimize probability of emerging of socio-political instability.
Keywords
Kenya, socio-political instability
Date of publication
01.06.2012
Number of purchasers
0
Views
109
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References



Additional sources and materials

1. Malthus T. Population: The First Essay. Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press. 1978. 
2. Artzrouni M., Komlos J. Population Growth through History and the Escape from the Malthusian Trap: A Homeostatic Simulation Model // Genus.1985. Vol. 41, No 3-4, p. 21-39.
3. Steinmann G., Prskawetz A., Feichtinger G. A Model on the Escape from the Malthusian Trap // Journal of Population Economics. 1998. Vol. 11, p. 535-550.
4. Wood J. W. A Theory of Preindustrial Population Dynamics: Demography, Economy, and Well-Being in Malthusian Systems // Current Anthropology. 1998. Vol. 39, p. 99 135.
5. Chu C. Y. C., Lee R. D. Famine, Revolt, and the Dynastic Cycle: Population Dynamics in Historic China // Journal of Population Economics. 1994. Vol. 7, p. 351-378.