IRAN AS THE SHIITE SUPERPOWER: REAL AND IMAGINARY CHALLENGES
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IRAN AS THE SHIITE SUPERPOWER: REAL AND IMAGINARY CHALLENGES
Annotation
PII
S0321-50750000617-4-1
Publication type
Article
Status
Published
Authors
Pages
3-7
Abstract
Characterizing the internal situation in Iran, the author notes that the regime of «Shiite democracy» has proved that it can achieve positive economic results. However, the economic system itself, 70% of which is public sector, and which largely rests on huge subsidies, is becoming more and more corrupt and less effective. Bearing in mind acceleration of changes in the world, growing and often unpredictable impact of information technologies, one can not assert with full confidence that the regime is strong and stable. But the Iranian ruling elite will not permit a «Gorbachev’s scenario».As far as the international cooperation is concerned, the key factor determining the relationship between Tehran and the outside world, is the Iranian nuclear program. Unfortunately, the current situation is characterized by extreme nervousness and uncertainty. It is difficult to say what will prevail: the emotional and irrational egoistic interests of leaders - the US, Iran and Israel, or balanced, responsible approach to the fate of the region and of the entire world, of the global interests of the international community, i.e. an approach which would eliminate a danger of war.A.Vasiliev believes that there is nevertheless an objective possibility of cooperation between Iran and the U.S. and even Israel, both in economy and in providing peace, security and stability in the region.
Keywords
Iran, international relations, U.S. - Israel - Iran, nonproliferation of nuclear weapons
Date of publication
01.08.2012
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0
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149
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References



Additional sources and materials

1. Sunni and Shia Populations. Mapping the Global Muslim Population. A Report on the Size and Distribution of the World's Muslim Population. October 7, 2009. Pew Research Center - http://www.pewforum.org/Muslim/Mapping-the-Global-Muslim-Population(6).aspx 
2. Gross domestic product, current prices U.S. dollars. Gross domestic product based on purchasing-power-parity (PPP) valuation of country GDP Current international dollar. All countries // World Economic Outlook Database. April 2012. International Monetary Fund - http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2012/01/weodata/index.aspx
3. Library of Congress - Federal Research Division Country Profile: Iran, May 2008 - http://lcweb2.loc.gov/frd/cs/profiles/Iran.pdf
4. Forero Juan. Center of gravity in oil world shifts to Americas // The Washington Post, 26.05.2012.
5. Warrick Joby and Miller Greg. U.S. intelligence gains in Iran seen as boost to confidence // The Washington Post, 8.04.2012.